Demographic Projection Techniques for Regions and Smaller Areas

A Primer

By H. Craig Davis
Categories: Public & Social Policy, Urban Studies, Planning & Architecture, Geography
Publisher: UBC Press
Paperback : 9780774805018, 125 pages, January 1995
Ebook (PDF) : 9780774853767, 125 pages, October 2007

Table of contents

Preface

1. Introduction

2. Mathematical Extrapolation I

3. Mathematical Extrapolation II

4. Comparative Methods

5. The Cohort-Survival Population Model

6. Migration Models

7. A Final Note

Appendices

A. Linear Regression

B. Logarithms

Notes

Selected Readings

Index

Description

The ability to project population trends is of vital importance for
anyone involved in planning -- in the public as well as the private
sector. This book provides the tools for making such projections and
discusses four principal approaches: mathematical extrapolation,
comparative methods, cohort survival and migration models. Primarily
written for courses in planning, this book is also useful for anyone
having to make decisions affected by population trends, whether they
involve planning for future growth or alerting local decisionmakers to
external uncertainties that could have a serious impact on the future
of the community.